Prospector - The Moving Average
The MA% smoothes out the change in hand statistics to show the longer term trend. The moving average is calculated by averaging the current hand over the previous hands to provide a value that is less susceptible to variance.
In Poker Academy Prospector, the moving average is a little different than is used in other places. We do not use a moving average over a period of time (ie: days, years, minutes), we use it in relation to number of hands.
If you have 10000 hands, and select a MA% of 20% for the Played% statistic, the first data point of Played% will be 2000 hands in. Each subsequent point on the Played % graph will then be an average of the last 2000 hands.
By setting the MA% to 0%, Prospector will put the value of your average over the entire selected session or applied filter.
Moving Average Examples:
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The first image is of a moving average of 5%. You can see the data is much more susceptible to small fluctuations in the way a game is played, since only the previous 5% of the total hands is used to calculate the data point.
Click for full size image.
The second image has a moving average of 20%. The data points are much smoother and show a better long term outlook of playing style.
These graphs show that as a player tightens up (played percentage decreases), the total winnings are actually on the rise. With Poker Academy Prospector, we suggest a hands played percentage of roughly 35%. These statistics are easily displayed in the detailed player statistics window under the Actions tab.
Sam :: Sep.24.2007 :: Prospector Tips :: No Comments »
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